Clear all Week or Rain Wednesday?

A weak frontal passage Wednesday will affect the Mississippi Delta Wednesday. The Weather Service has thrown in some 20% - 30% Rain Chances, which affects all of you as you are trying to get the fields ready for planting. I am fairly confident that there will be no rainfall accumulation. 

The next ran chances are at the end of the week. I will post a long range forecast pertaining to that even later today. 

A strong cap (Layer of Warm Air Aloft) will limit convection. You can see how the red line (Temperature) sharply increases with height, then begins to cool again. 

The graphic below is an Ensemble forecast from the Canadian Regional Model. The clustering of red numbers (Different Versions of the Model) indicate forecast confidence. Most all of the members are well north of the Delta, which means that the rain threat is to the north. 

Something worth noting is the Warm Air Advection which is being augmented by position of a Low Pressure near Iowa, and a High Pressure south of Florida. This setup will pull in Gulf Moisture.