The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Outlook valid for Tuesday. This Outlook means that there is high confidence that convection will occur and initiate Thunderstorms with this event, which can drive up precipitation rates and total amounts. The Models are already picking up on mild levels of CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) , and only a few things have to line up for CAPE to be much higher on the day of the event.
Below you can see the Mid-Level Trough and Surface Low in Missouri.
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