I expect to see a colder look over the next week or two with the NAO forecast to go negative. I briefly discussed NAO in yesterday's post. I have fairly good confidence in a dynamically driven (Cold Front) rain event Mid/Late next week. The Ensemble Prediction Systems (Many different versions of a model "tweaked" with different physics) are in good agreement for a colder look and the NAO is negative; I don't see why that wont come to fruition. I am concerned for recently planted corn, not for a freeze risk, but more so from a soil temperature standpoint.
I'll post tomorrow on the Severe Weather Risk for this weekend.
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| Temperatures forecast to be below normal 8-15 Days from now. |
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| GFS (Global Forecast System) Valid for Thursday Morning |
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| Ensemble Prediction for the 0 Degree Celsius 850 mb (1 Mile High) Pressure Surface |
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