Severe Weather

The Storm Prediction Center has increased the level of concern for severe weather today. Heavy Rain for the Delta with accumulations around 1.5 inches. If it stops raining where you are, do not assume that the event is over. We are just now beginning to see the passage of the Warm Front. The Cold Front will pass through the night bringing heavy rain.

Surface Analysis. Low Pressure tracking near Arkansas typically brings these types of setups for Mississippi. You can see both fronts draped across Texas. Lots of Southeast Wind across the State today, perfect for Supercell Development.

Below is a Hi-Resolution Satellite Image from earlier this morning. You can see the shadows cast by storms tops in South Mississippi.

The Mississippi Delta is encircled in the 15% probability for hail. The main Tornado threat is south of us, with a 15% probability in southern Mississippi. Lack of moisture and instability will keep us relatively safe from anything extremely severe. The hail threat is not something to overlook, but since the winter wheat hasn't headed out yet, damage such not be very bad. I am not saying that hail is eminent, I am simply outlining the risk.

Hail Probability

Tornado Probability